** POLL** What are your hurricane predictions?

[Bearco]

The poll will close after 30 days, so get your votes in.

Hurricane season officially started today. We might as well take our own guesses at the amount of hurricanes we will see. This will be a public poll. Total hurricanes.

Across the entire Atlantic Basin for the six-month season, which begins June 1, NOAA is projecting a 70 percent probability of the following ranges:

•14 to 23 Named Storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher), including:
•8 to 14 Hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which:
•3 to 7 could be Major Hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph)

Maybe we can do a drawing out of the winning guesses when the season comes to an end for a prize.

 

[dantheman]

No clue .

 

[Bearco]

No clue .

well then you are right in line with the NOAA and the rest of us

 

[Old_Demon]

I don't have a clue either, but I went ahead and took a WAG.

 

[kajuntriton]

I don't have a clue either, but I went ahead and took a WAG.

Ya see Demon, that is the problem......you took a WAG, you should think like a true maintenance man, refine your thoughts and troubleshooting skills and take a SWAG!


But yeah, this poll is just about as good as NOAA for damn sure!
Bearit, is this poll for named storms in the Gulf? All storms that get named? OR only storms that are actually classified as hurricanes?

KT

 

[Bearco]

this
OR only storms that are actually classified as hurricanes?

 

[Suburbazine]

I voted for 5 to hit the Gulf at some point this year.

 

[Sin-ster]

Saw the same stats you posted on the news the other day. 9 is my lucky number, so I picked that, in hopes that if it's accurate... being my lucky number will mean they all miss us.

 

[Bearco]

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2010/06/colorado_hurricane_forecast_wo.html

Forecasters at Colorado State University are predicting an active hurricane season

The researchers said Wednesday that they expect 18 named storms to develop in the Atlantic, including 10 hurricanes. Five are expected to be major, and there's an above-average probability of a major storm -- one with sustained winds of at least 111 mph -- hitting land in the United States or Caribbean.

The forecast has worsened since April, when CSU researchers predicted 15 named storms, including eight hurricanes, because of much warmer tropical Atlantic surface temperatures and cooling Pacific conditions.

 

[Born4spd]

http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/dsdt/cwtg/egof_tmap.html

 

[CloudStrife]

I'm thinking of applying to be a meterologist for WBRZ. Here's my audition:
"From my analysis I've determined there will be approximately... (reaches into hat and pulls out a piece of paper) 12 hurricanes this year."

Think I'll get the job?

 

[Bearco]

bump

 

[Bearco]

ttt, only a few days left to vote

 

[Saftman]

I say 8.

 

[Bearco]

last day for votes

 

[sraiford]

My vote is just a guess. Well, I think all the agencies "scientific data" are guesses too. How can anyone predict how many named storms and hurricanes we are going to have over the next 5 months, if they can't REALLY tell me if it is going to rain locally this afternoon? Bunch of hogwash.

 

[LACamper]

How many hurricanes doesn't really matter. The question is whether we're going to get a cat 3+...

 

[CloudStrife]

What do the winners get?

 

[Bearco]

What do the winners get?

I will figure something out, but it will not be a gun.

 

[CloudStrife]

How about a Hurricane (the drink)?!
I don't think that will work since we don't all live near one another, but it was the first thing that came to mind.