2013 Tropical Weather Activity

[Hitman]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

 

[Skiney]

Cool.....Time to stock up on tuna fish and Vienna sausage before the crowds hit...:}

Poo Yaah!

 

[Ijaw]

Stocking up on spam!! List of GOM Hurricane names for 2013: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dorian, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Ingrid, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, Van and Wendy. The HORROR begins

 

[I_FLY_LOW]

Tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
1100 am pdt wed may 15 2013

for the eastern north pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude..

The national hurricane center has initiated advisories on tropical
depression one-e...located several hundred miles south-southwest of
acapulco mexico.

Today marks the first day of the eastern north pacific hurricane
season...which will run until november 30. Long-term averages for
the number of named storms...hurricanes...and major hurricanes are
15...8...and 4...respectively.

The list of names for 2013 is as follows:

Name pronunciation name pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
alvin al- vin manuel mahn well-
barbara bar- bruh narda nahr- duh
cosme cos- may octave ahk- tayv
dalila dah ly- lah priscilla prih sih- luh
erick ehr- ik raymond ray- mund
flossie floss- ee sonia sohn- yah
gil gil tico tee- koh
henriette hen ree ett- velma vell- muh
ivo eye voh- wallis wahl- lis
juliette jew lee eht- xina zee- nah
kiko kee- ko york york
lorena low ray- na zelda zel- dah

this product...the tropical weather outlook...briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours. The issuance
times of this product are 5 am...11 am...5 pm...and 11 pm pdt.
After the change to standard time in november...the issuance times
are 4 am...10 am...4 pm...and 10 pm pst.

A special tropical weather outlook will be issued to provide
updates...as necessary...in between the regularly scheduled
issuances of the tropical weather outlook. Special tropical weather
outlooks will be issued under the same wmo and awips headers as the
regular tropical weather outlooks.

A standard package of products...consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory...the forecast/advisory...the cyclone discussion...
And a wind speed probability product...is issued every six hours
for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition...a special
advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant
unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings.

The tropical cyclone update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
watches or warnings. The tropical cyclone update is used in lieu
of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package.
Tropical cyclone updates...which can be issued at any time...can
be found under wmo header wtpz61-65 knhc...and under awips header
miatcuep1-5.

All national hurricane center text and graphical products are
available on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. Nhc is also on
facebook at www.facebook.com/us.noaa.nationalhurricanecenter.gov.
Notifications are available via twitter when select national
hurricane center products are issued. Information about our east
pacific twitter feed is available at
www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml.

&&
public advisories on tropical depression one-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz31 knhc and under awips header miatcpep1. Forecast/
advisories are issued under wmo header wtpz21 knhc and under awips
header miatcmep1.

$$
forecaster berg
nnnn

 

[Hitman]

Man that it some UGLY names ..... hope that's the worst of them, their names.

 

[Mojo Rider]

 

[Hitman]

From another forum;

We got hit with a triple solar flare over the weekend and into Monday. An X 3.2; an X 2.8 and an X 1.7. On Monday when the X 3.2 erupted, the Mariana’s trench suffered a 7.0 underwater earthquake. So I’m not surprised by the early start to the tropical storm season.

In 05’ the sun produced an X-45 flare (the second largest X flare recorded in human history) that missed the earth by two days in our orbit around the sun. A glancing blow. Within 4 days a tropical storm that would become Katrina appeared off the African coast and the great rift opened up in Ethiopia. Within a month Katrina, Rita, Wilma, and Stan were in the record books.

Stan was not a problem for the United States, it made landfall into Central America a week after the area was hit with an earthquake and a volcanic eruption. The rain from Stan caused massive landslides and a lot of people died.

We are currently in Solar Cycle 24 and the sun was supposed to reach its maximum intensity for solar activity in March (13’), however it did not do that. The sun didn’t peak as predicted, just like it did in 2001. In 2001 the sun had a “soft peak” and re-peaked again in 2005. If the sun is following that pattern it should re-peak again in 2015 / 2016. But some solar observers think we are going straight into a solar minimum that will last 20 years with no sun spot activity. The last time the sun was that quiet was in the mid-1500’s, during the period known as the “little Ice age”.

Again I’ll state for the record that I believe the Gulf Stream conveyer is faltering due to a disruption of the salinity in the Northern Atlantic. This should concentrate more heat along the Earth’s equator and the only way to equalize the extremes in temperature will be an increase in the tropical storm frequency and intensity.

But I’m praying that they go somewhere else too.

 

[I_FLY_LOW]

Anudder Juan...
Tropical Depression Two Forms in Caribbean - weather.com Tropical Depression Two Forms
http://www.weather.com/news/weather...wo-20130617?cm_ven=Email&cm_cat=article_share

 

[themcfarland]

GREAAAAT, Can I just have one week where I am not running around behind the eight ball, damn.

 

[Mojo Rider]

No worries it's going to Meheeco

 

[Hitman]

Tropical Storm CHANTAL

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl#contents


Here we go....

 

[I_FLY_LOW]

Looks like an east coast problem, for now.
Hopefully it will just fizzle for any and all involved.

 

[Hitman]

Looks like an east coast problem, for now.
Hopefully it will just fizzle for any and all involved.

As hot as the gulf has been warming up to be I'm hoping it doesn't suck it in.

 

[Bayoupiper]

I'm not worried.

Our Lord President Barack Obama The Great will wave his hand and the waters will calm.




.







Ok, I couldn't keep a straight face typing that.

 

[oleheat]

Sure seems like it's track has been steering a little more to the west....

But as of now, this VVV is still the "official" track....

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl#contents

 

[Hitman]

That's what I was saying earlier Heat. The HEAT in the gulf waters is trying to suck that storm west!

 

[oleheat]

That's what I was saying earlier Heat. The HEAT in the gulf waters is trying to suck that storm west!

Yep, sure looks like there's a chance....Good drill, at the very least.

 

[I_FLY_LOW]

Potential for Katrina, Gustav, or Issac Part deux? hope not...

 

[I_FLY_LOW]

AAAAND Chantal fizzles out...

 

[Hitman]